Photo by Kevin Dietsch for Time
Details on the health care reform plan being pushed by the gang of six and headed up by Senator Baucus are coming out.
The BIG Question: Will it Add to the Deficit?
The stock answer is NO, it will not add to the federal deficit. Note the qualifier – the FEDERAL deficit…FEDERAL. Now your personal deficit and that of your employer, well, that’s a different story. The government won’t speak for business. Government only addresses the federal cost issue. Hmmmm.
The Next Question: How will it impact Your Pocketbook?
Funny you should ask. The plan calls for 50% reduction in Medicare Part D prescriptions at a cost of $8B to the pharmaceutical industry. If you are naive enough to think pharma is simply going to cut $8B in profit to cover this expense out of the goodness of their heart – think again. The price of prescriptions to the private insurance portion of the population will rise to compensate. It’s called cost-shifting. It happens every time the government lowers Medicare rates on what it pays for medical services and products – the lost revenue has to be made up somewhere, and it is made up in increased rates to the private health insurance industry. This is also known as the healthcare policy your employer pays for and that has been eating your cost of living increase for the past few decades.
In addition, there is a law that prevents exclusion on pre-existing conditions. That HAS TO COST MORE for the insurance company to cover. Rates HAVE TO GO UP to cover services that, well, they were not covering before. And plans now HAVE TO OFFER WELLNESS PROGRAMS. Those incur costs that have to be covered as well, so that will increase insurance plan costs.
But the good news is all rates HAVE TO BE THE SAME for all groups. Insurers can only discriminate based on tobacco usage, age, family size and geographic location – all fairly legitimate adjustments to cost. More good news is that the rates for the oldest people can only be as much as 5x (five times) what they are for the youngest members on a plan. That’s a good way to keep costs within an artificially controlled range. But what does that mean will happen to costs? The cost for the youngest in the population (the very folks who put Obama in office) are going to go up – just so the insurance companies can get the 5x rate to cover the exponentially higher utilization of the older population. In other words, the most expensive portion of the population to cover will increase the cost of the lowest portion as they “drag the bracket upward.”
Sounds expensive for those of us on private insurance.
Is this the plan perfect? No way. Is it a step in the right direction? In some ways. Many ways. Is it going to cost more? No. Well, at least it won’t cost the government any more.
If your company is trying to find out how they could save their employees and themselves money now, and after the reform, check out some of the change:healthcare tools for employers. We have some interesting programs that help everyone save money on healthcare.
